Tsvangirai Takes Out A Gun, Prepares To Shoot Himself In The Foot. Again.
This was Morgan Tsvangirai launching a fresh, new 100-day plan (more like a wish-list I said back then and I have been proved right). Now he tells us he can not fulfill any of his promises unless he gets Governors, ambassadors and Roy Bennett is sworn in as Deputy Minister of Agriculture. But, more disturbing is the move to boycott new elections that Mugabe hinted at during his address to the ZANU PF Women's League last weekHarare, Zimbabwe, 22 September 2009First of all, you should know that we are having immense challenges with our internet connections in Zimbabwe right now. Even normally reliable routes are proving a challenge.So much for Nelson Chamisa's promise of having improved the internet connections by 60% within 100 days. Those 100 days are gone and we are back to square one.It is ZANU PF all over again. Except this time, it is a creature called MDC-PF.But to my point here today:This is a poser, is it not?
Yesterday, the MDC, through its spokesman, the Minister Not-Quite In Charge of Communicatiosn, Nelson Chamisa, reacted to Mugabe's statement that ZANU PF should prepare for elections in 2011.
The MDC says they will only agree to elections if there is a new constitution and a new Zimbabwe Electoral Commission in place.
This is a reasonable demand, mind you. But it is the painting themselves into a corner that is a problem.
We all know that Mugabe supports whatever the MDC is against. So, he will probably go ahead regardless. Having stymied the constitution-making process and with the Electoral Commission from last year in place, he will go ahead and call for those elections.
What will the MDC do then? Boycott them? Of course not, they do not have the guts.
We have been here before. At the last elections, the MDC were refusing to take part, claiming that the elections violated the spirit of the talks that were then underway, which had started in 2005.
Mugabe pressed ahead regardless.
Eventually, seeing that they could not stop this train, the jumped in.
But the question now is what happens if the MDC decides that it will not take part in those elections and Mugabe presses ahead? What will they do if Mavambo and other parties decide to jump in and take on ZANU PF?
More importantly, what will they do if, havign taken on ZANU PF, Mavambo wins the elections, beating Mugabe and ZANU PF into second place?
Would they demand a rerun?
I doubt anyone would agree to that. Why? Because it would be tantamount to holding an entire nation to ransom on account of the ambitions of a small group of potential MPs. The MDC would essentially be saying that elections are legitimate only if they win, even if Mugabe loses to another party.
I doubt anyone would agree with that sentiment.
The MDC knows this. So this nothing but mere posturing, which should be ignored.
As usual, the MDC is letting Mugabe set the agenda for this country and all they do is react. Whether they like it or not, Mugabe will, yet again, lead them by the nose into a new election. They will take part. Mugabe knows this.
The more they make noise about boycotting new elections, the more Mugabe will make noise about pressing ahead with them.
It is, once again, a case of Morgan Tsvangirai trying his best to shoot himself in the foot, posturing while knowing very well that he has no choice but to capitulate. Again.